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efta-01451130DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01451130
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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01451130
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(2) Favor DM >EM.
(3) Japan, ex-yen. Bullish Japanese Recovery, equities and assets. Bearish JPY vs. USD.
(4) European Recovery. Bullish Europe. Note: Periphery spreads have collapsed, favor equity and real
assets. Favor: Financials, SMID cap equities, Germany (DAX is a levered play on global growth, year-
end forecast of 11,000, 12.4x)
(5) Bullish USD. Bearish Euro. The year it finally fumbles?
(6) Rising rates — limited opportunity, but for the Syr part of the curve. Syr part of the curve should sell
off further, short end stays anchored through mid 2015, back end has steepened/fairly valued at
present.
(7) Rising Inflation. Upside risk to inflation long-term given the Fed's tolerance for inflation short-term
and the sheer magnitude of liquidity in the system.
III. JE DB Account Summary [Tazia)
IV. JE Position Review Winit & Tazia)
V. Reccomendations
(1) 10yr USDc.IPYp 85 strike, 90 KO
(2) DBUUPPN Index - 13mo Call option
(3) Gymboree (GYMB) 9.125% '28 at - 94.625 (10.5%)
VI. Appendix: Global Markets Research Forecasts (for reference):
GDP Forecasts 13/14:
Global GDP:
2.8%/3.7%
US GDP:
1.896/3.2%
Eurozone:
-0.2%/1.2%
Germany:
0.5%/1.5%
Japan:
1.696/0.7%
China:
7.796/8.6%
EM:
4.596/5.3%
CPI Inflation 13/14:
US:
1.696/2.5%
Eurozone:
1.5%/1.4%
Japan:
0.396/2.7%
China
2.6%/3.5%
2014 Year End Forecasts:
US 10yr: 3.25%
EURUSD:
1.15
USDJPY
115
S&P
1850
Stoxx600
375
Oil WTI
95
Oil Brent
105
Gold
1325
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0 107366
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00253550
EFTA01451130
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