Case File
efta-01457529DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01457529
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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01457529
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27 May 2016
Broadcasting / Movie & Entertainment
Dish TV
Valuation and risks
We have factored in net subscriber additions in FY16/FY17 of 1.4/1.4mn. We
now factor in EP/0/10% content-cost increases in FY16/FY17. Our estimates are
conservative compared to management guidance of mid-single-digit growth
for content cost for FY16.
We set our target price at an exit EV/EBITDA of I1x September 2016E.
ME valuation
The key assumptions of our three-stage FCFF (free cash flow to firm)
methodology are:
•
Risk-free rate of 7%, market risk premium of 7.1% (we apply a
standard estimated risk-free rate and market-risk premium to all the
Indian companies we cover), and beta of 1 (Bloomberg Finance LP),
implying a cost of equity of 14.1%;
•
12% cost of debt and stable state tax rate of 33%, implying a WACC of
13.1%; and
Growth in the stable phase of 4% (which is the long-term growth rate
for the number of households in India).
=04
FY15
FY16
FY17
F418
F419
Ff20
FY21
FY22
FY22
Pa?
443
FY24
FY25
eir
289
1.156
3231
4201
5,461
7,090
0
0
323
MO
1092
14/0
r3 rSS
228
1,156
2,938
3,351
♦369
5,679
409Esclaton
5,973
6)C
Awe
5,544
4,312
4,477
Ls Cain
739
s.
59:6
4429
3,100
480
kr
(91
as
3.792
1,711
VC/
4,576
6,101
7,820
9697
11637
13712
15664
17572
55S18
21993
24632
Growth
.55%
89%
41%
33%
28%
24%
20%
18%
14%
12%
12%
12%
12%
Torsi SW
25080
Carcourt rata
I.
0.83
0.7$
0.69
CuS1
034
0.49
0.42
0.37
0.33
O. %
023
Crawourtoci aka
1711
2970
3575
CB
4773
5231
5549
57%
5930D
5731
m o,,
505
69294
EV
125972
Coda ISC a4ustw1 tor to
RS free at
Moot rol crews
ND
Cos1c1 Soh
NM 0th
Maria O/0
WACC
Tr:enrol Tooth
0.0%
7.0%
7.1%
1.0
141%
110:0
EV
Nate,!
VS of &pity
125.972
11.083
114,977
pkrithon
108
58818
111%
Sys as% 0.4 ass
Page 8
Deutsche Bank AG/Hong Kong
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0117105
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00263289
EFTA01457529
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