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efta-efta01140145DOJ Data Set 9OtherFrom: Jeffrey Epstein <jeevacation@gmail.com>
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DOJ Data Set 9
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efta-efta01140145
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From: Jeffrey Epstein <jeevacation@gmail.com>
To: Paul Morris <
Subject: Fwd: Japanese Equity Basket... [C]
Date: Fri, 20 Dec 2013 14:34:08 +0000
Inline-Images: unnamed; unnamed(1); unnamed(2)
Forwarded message
From: Tazia Smith
Date: Wed, Dec 18, 2013 at 2:31 PM
Subject: Japanese Equity Basket... (C)
To: 'eevacation@gmail.com
Cc:
Paul Morris
Classification: Confidential
>, Vahe Stepanian <
Jeffrey -
Now that the FOMC decision is behind us (with the $10bn taper we just talked about), here is the
basket of single-name Japanese equities that we put together to build on your bullish view (presently
in DXJ).
To incorporate your bearish yen view, we could quanto this basket like we talked about...in note form,
we priced 13mos with HSBC, comes to a 95% participation eg. if the basket was up 18%, note would
be up 17.1%; if basket is down 10%, note is down 9.5%. max loss 95% of principal (indicative levels
only, subject to market movement, as of 12/18/13).
We can look to add to your yen short position opportunistically as an alpha overlay (USDJPY now at
103.40).
Let us know your thoughts,
Tazia
Sector
Company
Ticker
Current
Price
DB Price
Target
%
Auto
Toyota
7203 JP Equity
6180
8000
29%
Retail
Rukaten
4755 JP Equity
1496
1710
14%
Finance
Resona
8308 JP Equity
506
650
28%
Consumer Electronics
Panasonic
6752 JP Equity
1158
1300
12%
Automation Equipment
omron*
6645 JP Equity
4105
4426
8%
Shipping
Kawasaki Kisen 9107 JP Equity
236
280
19%
Average implied up/downside:
18%
* Not covered by DB. Price target reflects Bloomberg Average target.
Indicative levels, subject to market movement. Source: Bloomberg and DB Global Markets Research
EFTA01140145
12/16/13.
Supplemental Information:
DB Research ex ects Ja.anese e.uities could double b 2015
•
Abenomics will lead to higher operational leverage and an improved domestic economy
•
BoJ will ease further as needed; DB expects USD/JPY FX to reach 120 by 2015
•
Strong macroeconomic data and increase in overseas asset purchases by the Japanese
•
GPIF panel report (a third arrow initiative) strongly positive for Japanese risk assets
http://www.cas.go.jp/jp/seisaku/koutekisikin unyourisk/pdf/e final report pdf
Yen weakening will likely continue to be a theme, benefiting exporters.
Toyota:
7203 JP
Buy
Current price
6170
Target price (11m)
8000
Upside
29%
Panasonic
(6752 JP
Buy
Current price
1158
Target price (12m)
1300
Upside
12%
Omron
6645 JP
Not rated at DB
Current price
4105
Target price (12m)
4426 (Bloomberg avg. Not covered by DB)
Upside
8%
Kawasaki Kisen:
9107 JP
Buy
Current price
236
Target price (12m)
280
Upside
18%
Reflation is the other major theme, which should be positive for retailers and banks, where DB
Research is bullish Rakuten and Resona respectively.
Rakuten:
4755 JP
Buy
Current price
1531
Target price (12m)
1710
Upside
12%
EFTA01140146
Resona:
8308 JP
Buy
Current price
512
Target price (12m)
650
Upside
27%
Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners - US
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue, 26th Floor
Panitn,l-o- Perform.
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The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
Jeffrey Epstein
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
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destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
EFTA01140147
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