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efta-efta01140399DOJ Data Set 9OtherFrom: Vahe Stepanian
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DOJ Data Set 9
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efta-efta01140399
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From: Vahe Stepanian
To: jeevacation@gmail.com
Cc: Paul Morris <1
Subject: Fw: GBP + AAPL [C]
Date: Thu, 05 Dec 2013 19:09:25 +0000
Inline-Images: unnamed; unnamed(1)
>,
Classification: Confidential
Good Afternoon Jeffrey - following up Tuesday's email (included below):
1) WSJ has reported that AAPL has signed a deal w/China mobile, providing it a boost in the world's largest mobile market.
Shares have reacted, reaching a new 52 wk. high today @ -$572 (vs. $565.00 close yesterday) on the back of the report.
Consider selling Jan 595 or 600 Calls (currently $12.20 and $10.70 bid, respectively).
2) We believe the GBP trade is still relevant ahead of payrolls tomorrow. ADP came in ahead of street expectations yesterday
(215k vs. 170k expected; revised October +54k), and street is calling for headline number of +185k tomorrow morning. GBP is
currently —1.6330 (vs. USD), but is bouncing around today and we'd look to enter trade on additional GBP strength.
Thank you,
Vahe
Forwarded by Vahe Stepanian/db/dbcom on 12/05/2013 08:50AM --
From:
Vahe Stepanian/db/dbcom
To:
jeevacation@gmaa.com.
Cc:
12/03/2013 10:20 AM
Subject:
GBP + AAPL [C]
Classification: Confidential
Good Morning Jeffrey,
Hope you had a great holiday weekend. As you have likely seen, GBP is currently at a 2 yr. high vs. USD (@ —1.64; see graph
below). The most recent move up has been attributed to a rise in construction activity for a seventh month, the fastest pace
since August 2007. I recall you mentioned in our meeting that your view is to sell GBP if it approaches 1.65.
For what it's worth, our DB analysts have a bearish view on the pound. A recent (DB) FX note discusses reasons why it's
tough to build a fundamentally bullish case for sterling with the market pricing the first BoE hikes by mid-2015 (well ahead of
the ECB and even the Fed). We see potential for GBP to reverse to the mid-1.50s by year-end.
With that said, we priced up a few options that I've included below - consider selling a call, buying a put or a risk reversal.
Recognize that GBP vol. is currently relatively low (vs. historical levels).
Spot ref = 1.6397
1) Sell European GBP Call on GBP/USD
Strike: 1.67
Notional: GBP 5,988,023.95 (or —$10mm)
Expiry: Tue 03-Jun-2014 (6m)
Settlement: Thu 05-Jun-2014
Premium: USD -103,400
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2) Sell European GBP Call on GBP/USD
Strike: 1.70
Notional: GBP 5,882,352.94 (or -$10mm)
Expiry: Wed 03-Dec-2014 (12m)
Settlement: Fri 05-Dec-2014
Premium: USD -123,900
3) Buy European GBP Put on GBP/USD
Strike: 1.6376 (ATMF)
Notional: GBP 5,988,023.95 (or -$10mm)
Expiry: Tue 03-Jun-2014 (6m)
Settlement: Thu 05-Jun-2014
Premium: USD 219,365.27
Also worth mentioning — AAPL has run up quite a bit in the past few days (currently trading @ —$560; up from $519.80 on
11/22). I know you're looking to sell calls, will provide levels if still interested. Recall you're long 2k AAPL @ -$529.06.
Have a great day.
Thank you,
Vahe
I
Vahe Stepanian
Associate I Wealth Investment Coverage
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue - 26th Floor
New York. NY 10154-0004
EFTA01140400
GBP BGI\I Curncy
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Price
oo129m 11;007
1
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1.5827 Ih
1 Low on 07/09/13 1.4867
1.6500
1.1.) Compare
Mov. Avgs
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▪ 1.6000
A-1.5500
▪ 1.S000
Dec
Mar
Jun
Sep
Dee
Mar
Jun
Sep
Dec
Mar
Jun
Sep
Dee
)10
2011
I
2012
I
2013
Australia 61 2 9777 8600 Brazil 5511 3048 4500 Europe 44 20 7330 7500 Germany 49 69 9204 1210 Hong Kong 852 2977 6000
Japan 81 3 3201 8900
Singapore 65 6212 1000
U.S. 1 212 318 2000
Copyright 2013 Bloomberg Finance
SN 264224 H703-1366-2 03-Dec-13 10:14:24 EST
GMT-5:00
This communication may contain confidential and/or privileged information.
If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this communication
in error) please notify the sender immediately and destroy this
communication. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the
material in this communication is strictly forbidden.
Deutsche Bank does not render legal or tax advice, and the information
contained in this communication should not be regarded as such.
EFTA01140401
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Email
jeevacation@gmaa.comEmail
jeevacation@gmail.comGPS
1.4867
1.6500Phone
1 212 318 2000Phone
212 1000Phone
330 7500Phone
511 3048Phone
703-1366Phone
777 8600Phone
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