Case File
efta-efta01148956DOJ Data Set 9OtherJ.P. Morgan
Date
Unknown
Source
DOJ Data Set 9
Reference
efta-efta01148956
Pages
10
Persons
0
Integrity
Extracted Text (OCR)
Text extracted via OCR from the original document. May contain errors from the scanning process.
J.P. Morgan
Mitsui Fudosan (8801)
2Q Results: Potential for Upward Revision in Late
FY2013
Mitsui Fudosan reported 2Q results and held a conference call after market hours
on November 7. We get the impression it could revise up guidance late in FY2013
on potential upside in real estate brokerage, hotel business and condo sales.
• Leasing business: Operating profit from leasing rose V0.7 billion YoY to ¥55.4
billion. The vacancy rate (parent, Tokyo area) rose from 3.8% in IQ to 4.5% in
2Q, but guidance points to a fall to 3% in 4Q. The rise in 2Q vacancy rate
appears to have been temporary, mainly reflecting mismatches in timing
between tenants moving in and out. Management commented during its
conference call that office leasing might turn in a small profit increase in
FY2014.
• Sales of housing/sales to investors: Sales of housing (residential portion only)
swung from an operating profit of V5.2 billion in IH FY2012 to a loss of ¥1.3
billion in I H FY2013 due to low bookings of unit sales. Conversely, there was a
substantial increase in agreed sales, with contracts signed on 4,714 units in IH
FY2013, up from 3,018 units in IH FY2012. This strong sales performance
should make it easier to generate profits later in FY2013 because it is likely to
reduce selling expenses. Agreed sales kept up good progress even in October,
suggesting little evidence of a backlash to the introduction of higher
consumption tax. Spending on acquisition of land for condo development made
good headway, rising from V34.5 billion in 1H FY2012 to V51.5 billion in 2H.
• Management (brokerage), other business (hotels): Operating profit from
management activities grew 35% YoY to ¥24.2 billion, thanks to strong
brokerage to individuals. We see potential upside to full-year guidance of V42.0
billion operating profit from management activities. Operating profit from other
business rose from V50 million in 1H FY2012 to V2.1 billion in 1H FY2013
(full-year guidance: ¥1.0 billion) due to strength in hotels. Overall progress
looks likely to remain ahead of plan despite costs of opening new hotels in 2H.
• Overweight rating, December 2014 price target of V4,000: We continue to
base our price target on NAV (derived from SOTP analysis, using a cap rate of
4.0% and our FY2017 estimates). Downside risks include monetary tightening
and rising interest rates.
Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. (Reuters: 8801.T, Bloomberg: 8801 JT)
201213
201313
2014/3 E
201513E
2010 E
Sales
bn)
1338.1
1445.6
1,555.0
1,618.0
1,685.0
Operating Prof* (V bn)
126.0
148.2
170.0
187.0
201.0
Recurring Profit (ti bn)
1025
123.1
145.0
1620
178.0
Net Profit (ti bn)
50.1
59.5
75.0
91.0
100.0
EPS (V)
56.9
67.4
85.1
103.2
113.5
PIE (x)
564
47.6
37.7
31.1
28.3
P/BV (x)
2.6
2.3
2.2
2.1
2.0
EWEBITDA (x)
24.6
22.9
20.4
18.9
17.8
Japan Equity Research
07 November 2013
Overweight
8801.T, 8801 JT
Price: 143,210
Price Target: 144,000
IMAIT SI
FOCUS
1151
Japan
Infrastructure (Property,
Homebuilder, Construction)
Hirokazu Anai AC
Bloomberg JP/.IA ANAL cGO,
JPMorgan Secunties Japan Co.. Ltd.
Price Performance
IWO
3.510
fle
a
I zee
I
I
hat) Warn Jell 1%.13
a/01.T share price (e)
TOFU (rebated)
Company Data
Price (V)
3.210
Date Of Noe
07 Nov13
Market Cap (V bn)
2,829.37
Shares WS (me)
881.4
52-week Range 00
3610-1,802
TOPIX
1.184.73
DPS (Y)
22
Dividend Yield
0.7%
ROE
7.5%
See page 7 for analyst certification and important disclosures, including non-US analyst disclosures.
J.P. Morgan does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that
the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single
factor in making their investment decision.
www.jpmorganmarkets.com
EFTA01148956
Hirokazu Anai
Japan Equity Research
07 November 2013
Mitsui Fudosan (8801)
J.P.Morgan
Company Profile
Part of the Mitsui group, which began in 1673 when
Takatoshi Mitsui opened the Echigo-ya clothing store. This
later became the Mitsui Company, which established a real
estate section in 1914 and spun it off as Mitsui Fudosan in
1941. The company is an integrated real estate firm involved
in office leasing, commercial facilities, condominium
development, investment property development and REITs.
Operating Profit Composition by Segment, FY2012
Maui Home
0%
Sales of Housing
and Sales to
Investors
Operating Profit Forecasts: J.P. Morgan versus Consensus
V billion
Investment Thesis Risk Analysis
Upside Scenario to Target Price/Rating
•
Earnings improving faster than management's guidance,
driven by recovery in demand for commercial facilities
and hotels.
•
Rise in REIT prices could lead to capital gains on
property sales to Nippon Building Fund, Frontier Real
Estate Investment Corporation and Nippon
Accommodations Fund.
•
Full-fledged recovery in office demand owing to
improved economic conditions.
Downside Scenario to Target Price/Rating
•
Delayed recovery in office demand, increased
condominium construction costs.
•
Stagnation in POs (public offerings) if REIT unit prices
are depressed for long
•
Monetary tightening and rising interest rates.
J.P. Morgan
Consensus
FY2013E
170.0
FY2014E
187.0
Sara: JP. Morgan estimates. Romberg.
Assumptions & Sensitivity Metrics (Impact on FY2012 Profits)
162.5
172.2
Factor
Current
Assumption
Change
Vacancy Rate (%)
3.0
+1%
Average Rent (W3.3m2)
25,000
+5%
Interest rate (%)
1.4
+1%
Peer Valuations Based on Bloomberg Consensus
Impact
OP
NP
-4.6%
-4.6%
23.2%
23.2%
0.0%
-21.7%
Valuation
We base ow December 2014 price target of V4,OOO on a
sum-of-the-parts analysis using a cap rate of 4.0% and our
FY2OI 7 forecasts.
Company name
Bloomberg
Ticker
Currency
Market Cap
PIE(x)
PIB(x)
ROE(%)
13E
BE
14E
15E
13E
14E
15E
Mitsui Fudosan Co Ltd
8801 JT
3,210 Nov-07
28,678
41.5
36.9
33.9
2.29
219
2.09
5.9
latsuCeshi Estate Co Ltd
8802 JT
V
2,768 Nov-07
39.009
62.4
5/.2
53.2
2.97
2.86
2.75
5.0
Tokyo Tatemono Co Ltd
8804 JT
V
918 Nov-07
4,029
47.5
40.0
34.4
1.84
1.55
1.49
3.8
Tokyu Fudosan Hold. Corp
3289 JT
V
943 Nov-07
6,125
23.4
22.1
21.5
1.55
1.47
1.39
1.4
Sumitomo Realty & Dev.
8830 JT
V
4,580 Nov-07
22.101
31.2
29.6
27.9
3.16
2.89
2.66
10.7
NTT Urban Dev. Corp
8933 JT
V
1,224 Nov-07
4,083
34.3
33.6
29.8
2.14
2.05
1.97
6.4
Hulic Co Ltd
3003 JT
V
1,576 Nov-07
9,511
692
5/.5
51.0
5.84
5.32
4.84
8.7
Sun Hung Ka Properties Ltd
16 HK
NKD
102.00 Nov-06
35,146
126
12.7
12.1
0.69
0.66
0.63
5.7
Cbeung Kong Holdings Ltd
1 HK
HKD
121.50 Nov-CE
36.304
102
9.3
8.9
0.79
0.73
0.69
1.9
Hang Lime Properties Ltd
101 HK
FWD
25.85 Nov-06
14,938
26.8
20.1
16.8
0.94
0.93
0.89
4.2
CapdaLand Ltd
CAPL SP
SGD
3.09 Nov-06
10,586
19.3
15.5
14.1
0.84
0.80
0.77
5.2
2
EFTA01148957
Hirokazu Anai
Japan Equity Research
07 November 2013
Figure 1: Mitsui Fudosan (8801): Sales and Operating Profit by Business Segment
V million
J. P Morgan
10
20
1H
2H
Full Yr
3/14E
3115E
3116E
3,117E
3/18E
3/14
3/14 CoE
Sales
Leasing
108.644
113.285
221,929
234.071
456.000
470.000
492.000
515.000
534.000
553.000
YoY % chg.
0.5
2.9
1.7
8.4
32
6.4
4.7
4.7
3.7
3.6
Composition (%)
38.2
32.2
34.9
26.2
29.8
30.2
30A
30.6
31.3
32.0
Sales of HousIng and
47,787
70.914
118.701
317.299
436.000
441.200
475.500
531.000
518200
506.500
Sales to Investors
YoY % chg.
-6.7
-2.8
-4.4
13.0
10.8
12.1
8.7
10.7
-2.4
-2.3
Composition (%)
16.8
20.2
18.7
35.5
285
28.4
29.6
31.5
30.4
29.3
Management
73.557
77.107
150.664
158.336
309.000
309.000
316.000
323.000
331.000
340.000
YoY % chg.
3.1
6.9
5.0
5.2
3.7
3.7
2.3
22
2.5
2.7
Composition (%)
25.9
21.9
23.7
17.7
202
19.9
19.5
192
19.4
19.7
Mitau' Home
29.883
34.434
64,317
159.683
224.000
225.000
220.000
200.000
200.000
200,000
YoY % chg.
26.9
-36.3
-17.1
15.4
72
7.6
-2.2
-9.1
0.0
0.0
Composition (%)
10.5
9.8
10.1
17.9
14.6
14.5
13.6
11.9
11.7
11.6
Others
24.576
25.962
50.538
54.462
105.000
109.800
110.500
116.000
121.800
130,500
YoY % chg.
-4.4
-2.2
-3.3
-7.3
1.4
6.1
0.6
5.0
5.0
7.1
Composition (%)
8.6
7.4
7.9
6.1
6.9
7.1
6.8
6.9
7.1
7.5
Consolidated net sales
284.450
351.701
636.151
893.849
1.530.000
1.555.000
1.618.000
1.685.000
1.705.000
1.730,000
YoY %chg.
1.6
4.7
3.3
5.9
5.8
7.6
4.1
4.1
1.2
1.5
Operating Profit by
Business Segment
Leasing
27180
28.075
55,455
49.545
105.000
110.000
111000
115.000
120.900
130.000
YoY % chg.
0.1
2.8
1.4
14.4
0.6
5A
2.7
1.8
5.1
7.5
Composite+) (%)
85.5
59.0
69.7
48.9
58.0
57.3
53.8
51.6
50.8
51.0
Maren (%)
25.2
24.8
25.0
21.2
23.0
23.4
23.0
22.3
22.6
23.5
Sales of Houslng and
334
1.974
2.308
28.692
31.000
34.000
44.000
49.000
56.000
63.000
Sales to Investors
YoY %chg.
-87.6
-51.5
-65.9
88.3
34.4
47.4
29.4
11.4
14.3
12.5
Composition (%)
1.0
4.1
2.9
28.3
17.1
17.7
21.0
22.0
23.5
24.7
Maren (%)
0.7
2.8
1.9
9.0
7.1
7.7
9.2
92
10.8
12.4
Management
10.526
13.665
24,191
17.809
42.000
45.000
49.000
54.000
56.000
57,000
YoY % chg.
35.6
35.4
35.5
17.6
1.0
8.2
8.9
102
3.7
1.8
Composition (%)
32.9
28.7
30.4
17.6
232
23.4
23.3
242
23.5
22.3
Mare (%)
14.3
17.7
16.1
11.2
13.6
14.6
15.5
16.7
16.9
16.8
Mitsul Home
-7.059
2.644
-4.415
6.415
2.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
4.000
4.000
YoY %chg.
-13.4
371.3
-41.8
-48.2
253.4
253.4
50.0
33.3
0.0
0.0
Composition es)
-22.1
5.6
-5.5
6.3
1.1
1.0
1.4
1.8
1.7
1.6
Mare (%)
-23.6
7.7
-6.9
4.0
0.9
0.9
1.4
2.0
2.0
2.0
Others
825
1.232
2.057
-1.057
1.000
1.000
900
1.000
1.100
1.100
YoY % chg.
NM
NM
NM
NM
NM
-1276.5
-10.0
11.1
10.0
0.0
Composition (%)
2.6
2.6
2.6
-1.0
0.6
0.5
0.4
OA
0.5
0.4
Mare (%)
3.4
4.7
4.1
-1.9
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.9
0.9
0.8
Subtotal
32.006
47.590
79.596
101.404
181.000
192.000
209.900
223.000
238.000
255.100
Eitmeations
-5.426
-4.964
-10.390
-10.610
-21.000
-22.000
-22.900
-22.000
-22.000
-22.100
Operating Profit
26.580
42.627
69,207
90.793
160.000
170.000
187.000
201.000
216.000
233.000
YoY % chg.
8.3
16.3
13.1
23.0
8.0
14.7
10.0
75
7.5
7.9
3
EFTA01148958
Hirokezu Anal
Japan Equity Research
07 November 2013
Figure 2: Mitsui Fudosan (8801): Consolidated Income Statement
V million
J.P. Morgan
1O
2O
1I4
214
Full Yr
3114E
3115E
3116E
3117E
3718E
3114
3/14 CoE
Revenue from operations
284,450
351,701
636,151
893,849
1,530,000
1,555,000
1,618,000
1,685,000
1,705,000
1,730,000
YoY % chg.
1.6
4.7
3.3
5.9
5.8
7.6
4.1
4.1
1.2
1.5
Cost of goods sold
222.580
274.183
496,763
-
1,256,000
1.305.500
1.352.500
1.362,500
1.387.5(Xl
As % of sales
78.2
78.0
78.1
-
80.8
80.7
80.3
79.9
802
Gross Profit
61.870
77.517
139.387
-
299,000
312.500
332,500
342,500
342.500
Margin (%)
21.8
22.0
21.9
-
19.2
19.3
19.7
20.1
19.8
SG8A
35.289
34.890
70.179
-
129.000
125.500
131.500
126.500
109.500
SG&Arsales (%)
12.4
9.9
11.0
-
-
8.3
7.8
7.8
7.4
6.3
Operating profit
26,580
42,627
69,207
90,793
160,000
170,000
187,000
201,000
216,000
233,000
?Aaron (%)
9.3
12.1
10.9
10.2
10.5
10.9
11.6
11.9
12.7
13.5
YoY % chg.
8.3
16.3
13.1
23.0
8.0
14.7
10.0
7.5
7.5
7.9
Nonoperating balance
-6.230
-6.158
-12.388
-15.612
-28.000
-25,000
-25.000
-23.000
-22,000
-20,000
Financial balance
-5.417
-7.080
-12.497
-18.503
-31.000
-27,000
-27.000
-27.000
-27.000
-27,000
Interest and dividends
received
1.953
394
2,347
-
-
3.000
3,000
3,000
3.000
3,000
Interest expenses
7.370
7.474
14.844
30.000
30.000
30.000
30.000
30.000
Average interest rate
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.A
Equity in net income of
affiliates
452
350
802
2.000
2.000
4.000
5.000
7.000
Other revenue and
expenditure
-1,265
572
-693
3.693
3.000
0
0
0
0
0
Recurring profit
20,350
36,469
56,819
75,181
132,000
145,000
162,000
178,000
194,000
213,000
Recurring margin %
7.2
10.4
8.9
8.4
8.6
9.3
10.0
10.6
11.4
12.3
YoY % chg.
20.9
20.5
20.7
21A
7.3
17.8
11.7
9.9
9.0
9.8
Extraorditary profit
8.796
0
13.188
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Extraordinary loss
0
2,371
17.629
20.000
20.000
10.000
10.000
10.000
10.000
Pretax profit
29.147
38.489
67.636
44.364
112.000
125.000
152.000
168.000
184.000
203,000
Corporate tax. Vocal
inhabitant tax. business lax
14.266
13.367
27.633
18.367
46.000
50.000
60.800
67.200
73.600
81,200
Income taxes-deferred
0
0
0
0
0
0
Tax rates (%)
48.9
34.7
40.9
41.4
41.1
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
Minority interests
-1.893
2.043
150
850
1,000
0
200
800
400
800
Net Income
16,773
23,079
39,852
25,148
65,000
75,000
91,000
100,000
110,000
121,000
Marge) (%)
5.9
6.6
6.3
2.8
4.2
4.8
5.6
5.9
6.5
7.0
YoY % chg.
84.8
29.6
48.3
-10.6
9.3
26.2
21.3
9.9
10.0
10.0
4
EFTA01148959
Hirokazu Ansi
Japan Equity Research
07 November 2013
Mitsui Fudosan (8801): Summary of Financials
J.P.Morgan
income statement II In billions
201313 201413E 201513E 2O1613E Cash Flow statement tO In billions
2013/3 201413E 201513E 2O1613E
Revenues
1,445.6
1,555.0
1,618.0
1,685.0 Operating CF
100
102
148
151
Casio( revenue
-
•
• .
59
66
66
66
Operating expenses
-
•
•
• Net change in working capital
(64)
0
(9)
(10)
E8ITDA
207
236
253
267 Investment CF
(71)
(150)
(107)
(107)
Depreaation
(59)
(66)
(66)
(66) Calm
(77)
(160)
(150)
(150)
Operating profit (EBIT)
148
170
187
201 Net change in investments
•
•
-
Other income
23
25
25
23 Free cash Mow
86
(30)
48
67
Other expenses
(25)
(25)
(25)
(23) Financing CF
(8)
59
(120)
(70)
Pretax income
111
125
152
168 Net debt (cash)
2,019
2,087
2,066
2,027
Abnormal items (net)
(12)
(20)
(10)
(10) Change in Net date (cash)
337
68
(21)
(39)
Income taxes
(50)
(50)
(61)
(67)
lAncrities
(I)
0
(0)
(1)
Net income - GAAP
59
75
91
100
Diluted shares outstanding (mn)
881
881
881
881
Balance Sheet S In billions
2013/3 201413E 201513E 2O1613E Ratio Analysts
2013/3 201413E 201513E 201673E
Total assets
4.390
4,534
4,581
4.660 Gross Margin
•
•
•
•
Cash and cash equivalents
102
113
84
93 ESITDA margin
14.3%
152%
15.6%
15.8%
Trade receivable
•
• ROCE
2.8%
3.3%
3.3%
3.5%
Other current assets
177
253
263
272 Return on equity (ROE)
6.1%
7.5%
7.6%
7.9%
Net Tangible fixed assets
2.464
2,598
2,649
2.100 WE ratio
171.9%
170.7%
158.1%
147.2%
Net intangible fixed assets
40
30
30
30 Div payout ratio
32.6%
25.9%
21.3%
19.4%
InvOStmentS/Other assets
•
-
•
Total liabilities
3.157
3,246
3,221
3,220
Short term debt
286
330
290
280
Other short term liabilities
285
313
331
354
Long term debt
1.854
1,870
1,850
1.860
Other tog term liabilities
651
628
633
638
Minority interests
Total Equity
1.213
1,288
1,360
1.440
Note: Yin billions (except per-share data).Fiscal year ends Mar
5
EFTA01148960
Cistern:
336100
JJUdorgan
Global Equity Quantitative Analysis"
12 Ilth Forward EPS
ion
ink
l0)411
'
.
.....
'''
'''''''''
OM ...............
OM
400
Corneal:
83.57
9 6 6 6
a a P P S P r em
rit all 14 twa t
;
Curvets:
3%
Implied Value Of Growth*
Ia
Compri
39 5,
Hirokazu Anai
Japan Equity Research
07 November 2013
JPM Q-Profile
Mitsui Fudosan Co.. Ltd. (JAPAN I Financials)
Ave. 01 ne...111.1
Local Share Price
imn4
10114
1.01.01
1.0:091
MOM
MOO
MOO.
i0310.
MOP
Op
Earnings Yield (d local bond Yield)
IN{
Po
)l
PE (1Yr Forward)
nn
Ian
11%
483
0
021
411
441
.014
Comm,:
5749%
Price/Book Value
Im
as
21.
at
IAt
tit
as
Comm:
0.67
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
2
11
11
IS
Owns:
24a
S 1 5 1 11
" 11/11/1111
Summary
1
!Anti Futliman Co.. Ltd.
As Of:
JAPAN
SEOCI
5597603
Local Price:
Manche
EPS:
Latest
Min
Max
Malian
Average
21.D..
2SD..
%to ilia % to Mac
% to Mod
Itmth Posers PE
39.55e
10 58
7500
2322
28 90
57.27
0,52
-73%
90%
-41%
RSV (TrStic0.)
3.43;
084
357
1.53
1.75
298
0.53
45%
47%
47%
D.v441Y1110 (DAV
0.67
031
219
0.87
086
1.78
4.06
-54%
229%
0%
ROE (Trollop)
6.92
.1116
0.423
0.92
153
1110
445
-322%
60%
0%
weigh) Snots Cr Gnaw
57.9%
443
085
0.34
038
0.84
4.12
-175%
47%
-41%
Santa. Bboamorg Rein's Gbbal Fundamentals. IDES CONSENSUS. J.P. Mown Cats
• (WACO MS) Cal.1)(11. 0.EY/Costal °WO *hem east a IWO .glend Weld • 10% (Er)
III
I•Nov-13
319500
8157
%to Avg
-27%
-26%
28%
.49%
48%
6
EFTA01148961
Hirokazu Anal
Japan Equity Research
07 November 2013
J.P.Morgan
Analyst Certification: The research analyst(s) denoted by an "AC" on the cover of this report certifies (or, where multiple research
analysts are primarily responsible for this report, the research analyst denoted by an "AC" on the cover or within the document
individually certifies, with respect to each security or issuer that the research analyst covers in this research) that (I) all of the views
expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and (2) no part of
any of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views
expressed by the research analyst(s) in this report.
Important Disclosures
• Client: J.P. Morgan currently has, or had within the past 12 months, the following company(ies) as clients: Mitsui Fudosan (8801).
Company-Specific Disclosures: Important disclosures, including price charts, are available for compendium reports and all J.P. Morgan-
covered companies by visiting https://jpmm.comiresearcWdisclosures calling 1-800-477-0406, or e-mailing
researeh.disclosure.inquiriess@jpmorgan.com with your request. J.P. Morgan's Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research teams may
screen companies not covered by J.P. Morgan. For important disclosures for these companies, please call 1-800-477-0406 or e-mail
researeh.disclosure.inquirieskrApmorgan.com.
Mitsui Fudosan (8801) (8801.7, 8001 J7) Price Chest
PncelY1
8.000
5.000
4.000
3.000
2.000
1.000
0
UW Y2.800 I
1
Y2.650
INY1 600 I
I OW Y/.700
INV' 700
1°71°W72lat2ae
Ow Y4.000
OW Y2.400
Mar
OS
Sep
09
Mar
11
Sep
12
Sep
08
Sowco.B1omnteg and JP. Morgan. pone data admmod to, Mona sons anddh4OmMs.
maunsd mnwnge Nov 02.20%
Date
Rating Share Price Price Target
(Y)
09-Nov-06
1.7W
2685
2650
13-Feb-07 LIW
3220
2800
22-Jul-08
OW
2335
2800
19-Nov-08 OW
1244
2300
25-Feb-09 N
1007
1500
30-Jun-09
OW
1683
2500
30-Oct-09
N
1510
2000
21-Apr-11 N
1362
1700
16-May-11 OW
1366
1700
15-Jan-13
OW
2067
2400
05-Apr-13
OW
2930
4000
The chart(s) show J.P. Morgan's continuing coverage of the stocks; the current analysts may or may not have covered it over the entire
period.
J.P. Morgan ratings or designations: OW - Overweight, N- Neutral, UW Underweight, NR - Not Rated
Explanation of Equity Research Ratings, Designations and Analyst(s) Coverage Universe:
J.P. Morgan uses the following rating system: Overweight (Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will outperform the
average total return of the stocks in the analyst's (or the analyst's team's) coverage universe.] Neutral (Over the next six to twelve
months, we expect this stock will perform in line with the average total return of the stocks in the analyst's (or the analyst's team's)
coverage universe.] Underweight (Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will underperfonn the average total return of
the stocks in the analyst's (or the analyst's team's) coverage universe.] Not Rated (NR): J.P. Morgan has removed the rating and, if
applicable, the price target, for this stock because of either a lack of a sufficient fundamental basis or for legal, regulatory or policy
reasons. The previous rating and, if applicable, the price target, no longer should be relied upon. An NR designation is not a
recommendation or a rating. In our Asia (ex-Australia) and U.K. small- and mid-cap equity research, each stock's expected total return is
compared to the expected total return of a benchmark country market index, not to those analysts' coverage universe. If it does not appear
in the Important Disclosures section of this report, the certifying analyst's coverage universe can be found on J.P. Morgan's research
website, wwwjpmorganmarkets.com.
Coverage Universe: Anal, Hirokazu: Daiwa House Industry (1925) (1925.1), GLP J-REIT (3281) (32811), Haseko Corporation (1808)
(1808.T), Hulic (3003) (3003.T), Industrial & Infrastructure Fund (3249) (3249.1), Japan Logistics Fund (8967) (8967.T), Japan Real
Estate Investment (8952) (8952.T), Kajima (1812) (1812.1), Mitsubishi Estate (8802) (8802.1), Mitsui Fudosan (8801) (880I.T), NTT
Urban Development (8933) (8933.1), Nippon Building Fund (8951) (8951.1), Nippon Prologis REIT (3283) (3283.T), Obayashi (1802)
7
EFTA01148962
Hirokazu Anai
Japan Equity Research
07 November 2013
J.P.Morgan
(1802.T), Premier Investment (8956) (8956.1), Sekisui House (1928) (1928.T), Shimizu (1803)(1803.T), Sumitomo Realty &
Development (8830) (8830.1), Taisei (1801) (1801.1), Tokyo Tatemono (8804) (8804.1), Tokyu Land (8815)(8815.T)
J.P. Morgan Equity Research Ratings Distribution, as of September 30, 2013
Overweight Neutral
(buy)
(hold)
Underweight
(sell)
J.P. Morgan Global Equity Research Coverage
43%
44%
12%
IB clients*
57%
497.
39%
JPMS Equity Research Coverage
42%
50%
8%
IB clients*
76%
65%
57%
*Percentage of investment banking clients in each rating category.
For purposes only of FINRA/NYSE ratings distribution rules, our Overweight rating falls into a buy rating category: our Neutral rating falls into a hold
rating category; and our Underweight rating falls into a sell rating category. Please note that stocks with an NR designation arc not included in the table
above.
Equity Valuation and Risks: For valuation methodology and risks associated with covered companies or price targets for covered
companies, please see the most recent company-specific research report at hne://www.inmorg,anmarkets.com contact the primary analyst
or your J.P. Morgan representative, or email research.disclosure.inquiries©jpmorgan.com.
Equity Analysts' Compensation: The equity research analysts responsible for the preparation of this report receive compensation based
upon various factors, including the quality and accuracy of research, client feedback, competitive factors, and overall firm revenues.
Registration of non-US Analysts: Unless otherwise noted, the non-US analysts listed on the front of this report are employees of non-US
affiliates of JPMS, are not registered/qualified as research analysts under NASD/NYSE rules, may not be associated persons of JPMS,
and may not be subject to FINRA Rule 2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communications with covered companies, public
appearances, and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
Other Disclosures
J.P. Morgan ("JPM") is the global brand name for J.P. Morgan Securities LLC ("JPMS") and its affiliates worldwide. J.P. Morgan Cazenove is a marketing
name for the U.K. investment banking businesses and EMEA cash equities and equity research businesses of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its subsidiaries.
All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client website, J.P. Morgan Markets. Not all research content is
redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your sales
representative.
Options related research: If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have
received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the Option Clearing Corporation's Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.
please contact your J.P. Morgan Representative or visit the OCC's website at http://Www.optionsclearing.com/publicationstrisks/riskstoe.ndf
Legal Entities Disclosures
U.S.: JPMS is a member of NYSE, FINRA, SIPC and the NFA. JPMorgan Chase Bank. N.A. is a member of FDIC. U.K.: JPMorgan Chase N.A., London
Branch. is authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and is subject to regulation by the Financial Conduct Authority and to limited regulation by
the Prudential Regulation Authority. Details about the extent of our regulation by the Prudential Regulation Authority arc available from J.P. Morgan on
request. J.P. Morgan Securities plc (JPMS plc) is a member of the London Stock Exchange and is authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and
regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and the Prudential Regulation Authority. Registered in England & Wales No. 2711006. Registered Office 25
Bank Street, London. E 14 SIP. South Africa: J.P. Morgan Equities South Africa Proprietary Limited is a member of the Johannesburg Securities
Exchange and is regulated by the Financial Services Board. Hong Kong: J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited (CE number AAJ32 I ) is regulated
by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and the Securities and Futures Commission in Hong Kong. Korea: J.P. Morgan Securities (Far East) Ltd, Seoul
Branch. is regulated by the Korea Financial Supervisory Service. Australia: J.P. Morgan Australia Limited (.1PMAL) (ABN 52 002 888 011/AFS Licence
No: 238188) is regulated by ASIC and J.P. Morgan Securities Australia Limited (JPMSAL) (ABN 61 003 245 234/AFS Licence No: 238066) is regulated
by ASIC and is a Market, Clearing and Settlement Participant of ASX Limited and CHI-X. Taiwan: J.P.Morgan Securities (Taiwan) Limited is a
participant of the Taiwan Stock Exchange (company-type) and regulated by the Taiwan Securities and Futures Bureau. India: J.P. Morgan India Private
Limited, having its registered office at J.P. Morgan Tower. OM C.S.T. Road, Kalina, Santacruz East, Mumbai - 400098, is a member of the National Stock
Exchange of India Limited (SEBI Registration Number - INB 230675231/INF 23067523 LANE 230675231) and Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (SEBI
Registration Number - INB 010675237/INF 010675237) and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Thailand: JPMorgan Securities
(Thailand) Limited is a member of the Stock Exchange of Thailand and is regulated by the Ministry of Finance and the Securities and Exchange
Commission. Indonesia: PT J.P. Morgan Securities Indonesia is a member of the Indonesia Stock Exchange and is regulated by the BAPEPAM LK.
Philippines: J.P. Morgan Securities Philippines Inc. is a Trading Participant of the Philippine Stock Exchange and a member of the Securities Clearing
Corporation of the Philippines and the Securities Investor Protection Fund. It is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Brazil: Banco J.P.
Morgan S.A. is regulated by the Comissao de Valorcs Mobiliarios (CVM) and by the Central Bank of Brazil. Mexico: J.P. Morgan Casa de Bolsa, S.A. de
C.V., J.P. Morgan (irupo Financicro is a member of the Mexican Stock Exchange and authorized to act as a broker dealer by the National Banking and
Securities Exchange Commission. Singapore: This material is issued and distributed in Singapore by J.P. Morgan Securities Singapore Private Limited
(JPMSS) [NBC (P) 049/04/2013 and Co. Reg. No.: 199405335R] which is a member of the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited and is
regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) and/or JPMorgan Chase Bank. N.A., Singapore branch (JPMCB Singapore) which is regulated
a
EFTA01148963
Hirokazu Anai
Japan Equity Research
07 November 2013
J.P.Morgan
by the MAS. Japan: JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd. is regulated by the Financial Services Agency in Japan. Malaysia: This material is issued and
distributed in Malaysia by JPMorgan Securities (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd (18146-X) which is a Participating Organization of Bursa Malaysia Berhad and a
holder of Capital Markets Services License issued by the Securities Commission in Malaysia. Pakistan: J. P. Morgan Pakistan Broking (Pvt.) Ltd is a
member of the Karachi Stock Exchange and regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan. Saudi Arabia: J.P. Morgan Saudi Arabia
Ltd. is authorized by the Capital Market Authority of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (CMA) to carry out dealing as an agent. arranging. advising and
custody, with respect to securities business under licence number 35-07079 and its registered address is at 8th Floor. Al-Faisaliyah Tower. King Fahad
Road. P.O. Box 51907. Riyadh 11553, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Dubai: JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.. Dubai Branch is regulated by the Dubai Financial
Services Authority (DFSA) and its registered address is Dubai International Financial Centre - Building 3. Level 7, PO Box 506551, Dubai, UAE.
Country and Region Specific Disclosures
U.K. and European Economic Area (EEA): Unless specified to the contrary, issued and approved for distribution in the U.K. and the EEA by JPMS plc.
Investment research issued by JPMS plc has been prepared in accordance with JPMS plc's policies for managing conflicts of interest arising as a result of
publication and distribution of investment research. Many European regulators require a firm to establish, implement and maintain such a policy. This
report has been issued in the U.K. only to persons of a kind described in Article 19 (5), 38,47 and 49 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000
(Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (all such persons being referred to as "relevant persons"). This document must not be acted on or relied on by persons
who are not relevant persons. Any investment or investment activity to which this document relates is only available to relevant persons and will be
engaged in only with relevant persons. In other EEA countries, the report has been issued to persons regarded as professional investors (or equivalent) in
their home jurisdiction. Australia: This material is issued and distributed by JPMSAL in Australia to "wholesale clients" only. This material does not take
into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of the recipient. The recipient of this material must not distribute it to
any third party or outside Australia without the prior written consent of JPMSAL. For the purposes of this paragraph the term "wholesale client" has the
meaning given in section 76IG of the Corporations Act 2001. Germany: This material is distributed in Germany by J.P. Morgan Securities plc, Frankfurt
Branch and J.P.Morgan Chase Bank. N.A., Frankfurt Branch which arc regulated by the Bundesanstalt fiir Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht. Hong Kong: The
I% ownership disclosure as of the previous month end satisfies the requirements under Paragraph 16.5(a) of the Hong Kong Code of Conduct for Persons
Licensed by or Registered with the Securities and Futures Commission. (For research published within the first ten days of the month, the disclosure may
be based on the month end data from two months prior.) J.P. Morgan Broking (Hong Kong) Limited is the liquidity provider/market maker for derivative
warrants, callable bull bear contracts and stock options listed on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited. An updated list can be found on HKEx
website: http://www.hkex.com.hk. Japan: There is a risk that a loss may occur due to a change in the price of the shares in the case of share trading, and
that a loss may occur due to the exchange rate in the case of foreign share trading. In the case of share trading. JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd., will be
receiving a brokerage fee and consumption tax (shouhizei) calculated by multiplying the executed price by the commission rate which was individually
agreed between JPMorgan Securities Japan Co.. Ltd.. and the customer in advance. Financial Instruments Finns: JPMorgan Securities Japan Co.. Ltd..
Kanto Local Finance Bureau (kinsho) No. 82 Participating Association! Japan Securities Dealers Association. The Financial Futures Association of Japan..
Type lI Financial Instruments Finns Association and Japan Investment Advisers Association. Korea: This report may have been edited or contributed to
from time to time by affiliates of J.P. Morgan Securities (Far East) Ltd. Seoul Branch. Singapore: JPMSS andtor its affiliates may have a holding in any of
the securities discussed in this report; for securities where the holding is I% or greater, the specific holding is disclosed in the Important Disclosures
section above. India: For private circulation only, not for sale. Pakistan: For private circulation only, not for sale. New Zealand: This material is issued
and distributed by JPMSAL in New Zealand only to persons whose principal business is the investment of money or who, in the course of and for the
purposes of their business, habitually invest money. JPMSAL does not issue or distribute this material to members of "the public" as determined in
accordance with section 3 of the Securities Act 1978. The recipient of this material must not distribute it to any third party or outside New Zealand without
the prior written consent of JPMSAL. Canada: Thc information contained herein is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, a prospectus, an
advertisement. a public offering, an offer to sell securities described herein, or solicitation of an offer to buy securities described herein, in Canada or any
province or territory thereof. Any offer or sale of the securities described herein in Canada will be made only under an exemption from the requirements to
file a prospectus with the relevant Canadian securities regulators and only by a dealer properly registered under applicable securities laws or, alternatively.
pursuant to an exemption from the dealer registration requirement in the relevant province or territory of Canada in which such offer or sale is made. Thc
information contained herein is under no circumstances to be construed as investment advice in any province or territory of Canada and is not tailored to
the needs of the recipient. To the extent that the information contained herein references securities of an issuer incorporated, formed or created under the
laws of Canada or a province or territory of Canada, any trades in such securities must be conducted through a dealer registered in Canada. No securities
commission or similar regulatory authority in Canada has reviewed or in any way passed judgment upon these materials, the information contained herein
or the merits of the securities described herein, and any representation to the contrary is an offence. Dubai: This report has been issued to persons regarded
as professional clients as defined under the DFSA rules. Brazil: Ombudsman J.P. Morgan: 0800-7700847 / ouvidoritjp.morganWpmorgan.com.
General: Additional information is available upon request. Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but JPMorgan Chase & Co.
or its affiliates andtor subsidiaries (collectively J.P. Morgan) do not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to
JPMS andtor its affiliates and the analyst's involvement with the issuer that is the subject of the research. All pricing is as of the close of market for the
securities discussed, unless otherwise stated. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change
without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any
financial instrument. The opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual client circumstances, objectives, or needs and arc not
intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies to particular clients. The recipient of this report must make its own
independent decisions regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein. JPMS distributes in the U.S. research published by non-U.S.
affiliates and accepts responsibility for its contents. Periodic updates may be provided on companiesrindustries based on company specific developments or
announcements, market conditions or any other publicly available information. Clients should contact analysts and execute transactions through a J.P.
Morgan subsidiary or affiliate in their home jurisdiction unless governing law permits otherwise.
"Other Disclosures" last revised September 28, 2013.
Copyright 2013 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This report or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or
redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan.
9
EFTA01148964
Hirokazu Anal
Japan Equity Research
07 November 2013
J.P.Morgan
10
EFTA01148965
Technical Artifacts (17)
View in Artifacts BrowserEmail addresses, URLs, phone numbers, and other technical indicators extracted from this document.
Domain
anmarkets.comDomain
ouvidoritjp.morganwpmorgan.comDomain
researeh.disclosure.inquirieskrapmorgan.comDomain
www.jpmorganmarkets.comDomain
www.optionsclearing.comDomain
wwwjpmorganmarkets.comEmail
researeh.disclosure.inquiriess@jpmorgan.comPhone
1-800-477-0406Phone
2711006Phone
3067523Phone
5597603Phone
800-7700847URL
http://Www.optionsclearing.com/publicationstrisks/riskstoe.ndfURL
http://www.hkex.com.hkURL
https://jpmm.comiresearcWdisclosuresWire Ref
referencesWire Ref
reflectingForum Discussions
This document was digitized, indexed, and cross-referenced with 1,500+ persons in the Epstein files. 100% free, ad-free, and independent.
Support This ProjectSupported by 1,550+ people worldwide
Annotations powered by Hypothesis. Select any text on this page to annotate or highlight it.