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Capital Confidence
Barometer
Global real estate and hospitality survey 2011
III I
WI'
El ERNST &YOUNG
Quality In Everything We Do
EFTA01171975
Capital Confidence Barometer
Global real estate and hospitality survey 2011
In April 2011, Ernst & Young, in conjunction with the Economist
Intelligence Unit (EIU), conducted the third semiannual Capital
Confidence Barometer (the Barometer) survey of senior executives
from large companies around the world. The survey panel was
composed of selected Ernst & Young global clients and contacts and
regular EIU contributors. In total, there were 1,000 survey participants
(Global 1,000).
Ernst & Young's Real Estate and Hospitality group performed an in-
depth analysis, specifically focusing on responses from real estate and
hospitality (REH) companies. Below are some of the key findings from
the data analyzed:
• As of April 2011, approximately 80% of the REH executives are more
optimistic about the prospects for the economy, compared with 57%
Chart 1: REH survey participants
84%
25%
57%
79
Apt-I0
Oct-10
April
■Less optimistic • No change ■More Opt ',lisle
of REH executives six months ago. (See Chart 1.) In comparison,
66% of the Global 1,000 executives are more optimistic as of
April 2011, and 13% are less optimistic. (See Chart 2.) As of
April 2011, no REH companies responded that they were less
optimistic.
• Forty-two percent of the REH companies are focused on either
raising or investing capital, gearing up for what is expected to be
an extended period of growth and transactions in the real estate
and hospitality sector.
• The outlook for M&A activity is getting brighter among REH
companies; as compared to October 2010, the percentage of
companies likely to execute transactions in the next six months
has increased from 20% to 44%. (See Chart 3.)
Chart 2: Global 1,000 survey participants
14%
22%
15°.
18%
67
13%
a
Apr-10
OCI-11:1
Apr-I I
■Less optimistic • No change ■More optimistic
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Chart 3: REH companies likely to execute transactions*
aa%
20%
• Companies are continuing to build sustainable improvements into
their business operations. Areas where they plan to invest greater
effort include cash flow/liquidity, operational efficiencies/cost
reduction and performance monitoring of subsidiary businesses.
(See Chart 4.)
Our latest findings again underline one critical point: how companies
• 44%
manage their Capital Agenda today will define their competitive
position tomorrow. How they raise, invest, optimize and preserve their
capital is vital to their future success. The Barometer clearly shows that
coming out of the recession, fundamentals are improving for the real
estate and hospitality market, presenting significant opportunities for
Investment in a new economic and real estate growth cycle.
—s-04 months
Oct-10
April
maths
--A- I-2 years
'Respondents were able to choose more than one response
• Enthusiasm for emerging market and non-distressed assets
investment remains strong; the percentage of REH companies saying
they are considering an emerging market acquisition is 50% higher
than it was in October 2010. Interest in non-distressed assets is 75%
higher than it was in October 2010, as the distressed assets did not
materialize or were not very attractive.
• Almost 66% of REH companies say access to funding is not a
problem; approximately 70% of the REH companies in the survey
have a debt-to-capital ratio below 50%. In spite of the improvement
in financing conditions for deals, the preferred source for funding
over the next 12 months remains cash (42%), followed by bank
loans (32%).
• At the same time, 32% of the REH companies are still focused
on capital optimization, followed by 26% focused on capital
preservation.
Chart 4: Top 5 areas of focus for the REH companies over the next
12 months
CaSh flew/liquidly
Operational efficiencies/cost reduction
Performance monitoring of subsidiary business
Capital structure and effectiveness
Customer segmentation and profitability
Capital confidence barometer Real estate and hospitality survey 2011
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Understanding your Capital Agenda
A strong Capital Agenda needs to be at the heart of all strategic boardroom and management
decisions. Using the Capital Agenda will help companies consider their issues and challenges.
and more importantly, understand their options to make more informed strategic capital
decisions.
• Stress and distress - e.g.. liquidity issues
and turnaround plans
• Customer and supplier analysis
• Preserving tax assets and
mizing costs
• Relinancing or restruclui ing debt.
equity and other obligations
• Dealing with stakeholder
relationships and pressure
• Dispute resolution
It
• Acquisitions and alliances
• Planning and structuring
transactions to optimize
stakeholder return
• Focused due diligence to mitigate
risk and drive value
• Asset valuations
• Cost-and tarellicient structures
Contacts
a a
0
• Optimizing asset portfolio
• Delivery of synergies and
effective integration
• Improving working capital
and releasing cash
• Optimizing capital structure
• Optimizing tax and
corporate structure
The Capital
Agenda
• Fundraising (equity and debt )
IPO readiness, rights issues.
PE. private placement and
capital markets
• Optimizing funding structures
• Asset divestment
• tnlrastructure projects
• Cost-and tax-efficient
structures
If you would like to discuss your company's Capital Agenda. please contact your usual
EY advisor or any of the Global Real Estate or Transaction Real Estate contacts listed below.
Global Real Estate
ThansactIon Real Estate
Howard Roth
Michael Fishbin
Global Real Estate Leader
Principal. Ernst & Young LLP
Rick Sinkuler
Mark Lunt
Global Real Estate Markets Leader
Principal, Ernst & Young LLP
Dean Hodcroft
Troy Jones
Europe, Middle East, India and Africa Real Estate Leader
Principal, Ernst 8 Young LLP
Christopher Lawton
Asia Pac Real Estate Leader
Shohel Mande
Japan Real Estate Leader
Acknowledgements
Our special thanks go to the Global 1.000 for their contribution to this survey.
Brian Tress
Executive Director, Ernst & Young LLP
Mike Magrans
Senior Mane er
Bruce Kaminksy
Associate Director
Ernst & Young
Assurance I Tax i Transactions I Advisory
About Ernst 8 Young
Ernst 8. Young is a global leader In assurance,
tax, transaction and advisory services.
Worldwide, our 141,000 people are united
by our shared values and an unwavering
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Ernst 8. Young Global Limited, a UK company
limited by guarantee, does not provide services
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For more information about our organization,
please visit www.ey.com.
About Ernst 8 Young's Global Real Estate
Center
Today's real estate industry must adopt new
approaches to address regulatory requirements
and financial risks - while meeting the challenges
of expanding globally and achieving sustainable
growth. The Ernst 8. Young Global Real Estate
Center brings together a worldwide team of
professionals to help you achieve your potential -
a team with deep technical experience in
providing assurance, tax, transaction and
advisory services. The Center works to anticipate
market trends, identify the implications and
develop points of view on relevant industry
issues. Ultimately it enables us to help you meet
your goals and compete more effectively.
It's how Ernst 8 Young makes a difference.
For more information, please visit
www.ey.comfrealestate.
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1106.1262297NY
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