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efta-efta01372987DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01372987
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Infra Debt Historical Default and Recovery Rates
Loans to infrastructure obligors can provide attractive spreads and low default / high
recovery rates Default Rates for Ba and B Rated Debti
• Infrastructure debt has generally lower default rates than similarly rated debt of non-financial corporates'
• 10 year cumulative default rate for Ba and B infrastructure debt is 8.1% and 22.2%, respectively, while Ba and B non-
financial corporates experience 10 year cumulative default rates of 18.3% and 39.4%, respectively'
20%
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
■ Fa, Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6
I
Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 .8a Corp Infra and Project Finance Debt Seamier
Ba Non-Financial Corporate Issuers Ultimate Credit Loss Rates for Ba Rated Debt.'
14%
12%
• Credit loss rates for Ba infrastructure debts over a 10 year
10% period are significantly lower than for Ba non-financial
8%
corporates (c.3.9% vs. c.11.5%)'
6%
4%
• RIN's portfolio is comprised of senior secured infrastructure loans
2%
0% • Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year S Year 6 Year 7
Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 - 8a Corp Infra and Project Finance Debt Securities
8a Non-Financial Corporate Issuers
(1) Sources Infrastructure Default and Recovery Rates 1983-2016. Moody's, July 2017. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Deutsche Asset Management Infrastructure Debt Presentation: MN II Equity
March 2018
29
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0066940
CONFIDENTIAL
PROT1
PROT0
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