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efta-efta01385336DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01385336
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3 January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media, Cable & Satellite
programs implying meaningful cash burn.
The hedge strategy is widely
dispersed among Higher Quality credits - we have CLR which is completely
unhedged at one end and PE with a peer-leading 78% oil hedge ratio at the
other end. The Lower Quality oily names, which need downside protection the
most, have an average liquids hedge ratio of just 39% - except DNR (51%
hedged), the rest of the names are hedged <50% of their liquids production.
The gassy peers have more solid hedging programs with an average hedge
ratio of 54% in FY 18E. This is comparable to a 56% hedge ratio for FY 17 at
the same time last year. Specifically looking at gas hedges given heightened
downside risks to price for FY 18E, average hedge ratio is strong at 65% with
floor prices close to $3/mcf. Excluding AR which has traditionally had an
impressive medium term hedging program (almost 100% hedged for FY 18E),
the average gas hedge ratio would still be a robust 59% with all names hedged
50% a higher. The FY 19 peer group hedges except for AR (71%) are minimal.
rFigure 22: Hedge profile of oily credits foE FY 13
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[Figure 23: Hedge profile of oily credits for FY 19
100% •
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[Figure 24: Hedge profile of gassy credits for FY 18
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[Figure 25: Hedge profile of gassy credits for FY 19
100%
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Page 61
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0086620
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00232804
EFTA01385336
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