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efta-efta01389062DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01389062
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18 October 2016
REITs
US REIT 3O16 Earnings Preview
Shopping Centers: Store closures to hit 30 internal growth,
but progress for re-tenanting more important
IFigure 53: 1-Month Shopping Center performance
Wool Retail
a.
911,
nm
I
:14S
w
•••
• t sestets' eine,se
As of 10/14/16
Sarea 0
lint SAL
Figure 54:: YTD Shopping Center performance
Lod Rs
9 3\
<Pelt &tettrieiotnecit
As of 10/14/16
Source 4/.M,. eat sK
[Figure
120% I
55: Vacancy up and rents down modestly in 3O
, 4%
3%
'Figure 56: 2016 SS NOI growth similar to 1H level
4%
"4
1
g 3%
•0%1
•1%
2%
4 ow
.2%
I
1%
20% 1
0%
en
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RAU
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0 0%
. . . . .
temenesciswg..?wei,ett
Teeth n Erecum Re%
—VaCPecert
•
National vacancy rate was up 10bps q/q to 1O%
•
Effective rent growth was down relative to last O
to 1.9% y/y.
Sias Dana Ea. Sae
•*MS
• 1016
42016
•
2016 SS NOI guidance on average at the
midpoint is —3%, implying steady results in 21-I,
although additional
potential store closures
present downside risk.
San Paunch* &IS, orrwew ciao
Key Shopping Center topics/questions for the quarto:
•
Development and redevelopment outlook
•
Anchor and small shop retailer health
•
Sports Authority releasing, downtime arid capex update
•
Logans Roadhouse and Golfsmith exposure and store closures
•
Outlook and thoughts on Staples/Office Depot (SPLS: DB Hold rated,
USD7.561ODP: DB Hold rated, USD3.34, both by Mike Baker)
New watchlist tenants
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Page 27
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0093278
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00239462
EFTA01389062
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