Technical description of LILI forecasting model using OECD confidence indicators

Technical description of LILI forecasting model using OECD confidence indicators The passage details a proprietary economic forecasting methodology without mentioning any high‑profile individuals, agencies, financial flows, or misconduct. It offers no actionable leads for investigations and contains no novel or controversial claims involving powerful actors. Key insights: Uses OECD consumer and business confidence indicators to forecast CLI; Model selection based on Granger‑causality and BIC criteria; Four‑month lead time with up to four lags of standardized indicators