EFTA Document EFTA01385977

-o 2014 Outlook Closed Trades Trade Detail Rationale Risks Opened Entry Clewed Exit Pt Treasury RV Buy toy Treasuries vs 68 end 30s 10s have underperformed on the curve since May, and appear cheap on fly Further sell-off in Treasuries ' led by a steeper 5s/10s curve 1V6/13 +17 by 6/26/14 +5 bp (Closed on 6/26) +1,123k Option 1y 3s lOs conditional bearish flattener for zero premium: Buy ly3y + 25 by payer, sell DVOI weighted lylOy +41.6 bp payer for zero premium. The curve should bear flatten as soon the Fed tapers and front end sells off Curve steepens as rates rise 12/6/13 +212.5 bp 12/19/14 +17 bp Ok Swept RV Receive 3y1y/2y1 y rate spread at 108 flP Curve slope is near its historic levels; curve is likely to flatten in both sell-off or rally Curve steepens 12/6/13 +108 bp 12/19/14 +80bp +222k Dual digital option on 58 and 10s: Buy a 6m dual digital that pays out if 5s > 2% & Ws< 3.50%, offer 17% (6:1 leverage) Curve flattens beyond the current forwards; adding additional leverage by shorting the correlation between 5y and lOy rates Either of the two conditions is not true at expiration; maximum loss is premium outlay 12/6/13 12/19/14 Contingent curve cap Buy 6M 5s10s ATMF curve caps subject to 10s < 3.50%, 5.25c offer, a 40% discount to vanilla at Elc Front-end of the curve remains anchored, limited sell off in 10s Curve flattens 12/6/13 12/19/14 Option Receiver spreads: 0 Buy 6100mm 2y2y ATMF/25 bp receiver spreads at 28 bp Macro data disappoints, curve bull flattens Rates rise as recovery strengthens 12/6/13 +28 by 12/19/14 +29 by +19k Option Contingent payors0 Buy 1 y30y ATMF payers subject to 5s< ATMF+50 bp at 259 bp, a 57% discount to vanilla Rate hikes unbundled from taper, long end sells off while 5y remains anchored Curve flattens 12/6/13 12/19/14 opllOn Curve caps: Buy ly single reset, ATMF 5s30s curve cap at 21.5 bp Economic recovery disappoints and curve remains steep Curve flattens 12/6/13 +21.5 by 12/19/14 0 bp -197k Inflation Long-end US real rates vs long-dated Europe real rates: Buy 2041 US TIPS vs sell 2040 OATei Long dated real rates in the US appear cheap to those in Europe, especially France Further sell-off in long dated US rates relative to Europe 12/6/13 +40 bp 9/26/14 +60 bp (Closed on 9/25) +3,382k mo on Buy 2023 TIPS vs. 7/2019 and 1/2025 TIPS on ASW The intermediate sector in inflation markets is cheap relative to the wings Further cheapening of the belly in inflation markets relative to the wings 12/6/13 +38 bp 12/19/14 +8 bp +2,26a US Credk Underweight high-yield into Taper HY spreads should widen upon the onset of the taper Tapers gets delayed 12/6/13 12/19/14 Assoc itsc* ova Atabernorico anw,sw based co now erstotay "aft fl donor kinlia intffe spreads of riartioatet c W. caviar DM Mose betineerwk ke our mores rob.. zero posbort rent)* Mew* a of own* inarkeneuralowas Orlin* wean Hifirnal peetionvon • s ?me • Yen • cd tuftecovikernane• • Deutsche Bank Securities Inc CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) CONFIDENTIAL DB-SDNY-0087445 SDNY_GM_00233629 EFTA01385977