EFTA Document EFTA01387898
Graphs Graph 1: EURZAR-USDZAR implied correlation at highs EPRZAR-LISD7AR fin Ina/Econ. EURZA.4-9502AR ly impleicorr 43% -- —r- ---e 100 2006 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Graph 3: 6m realized correlation vs. strike Graph 2: ZAR vols elevated compared to EURUSD vols 5 EURUSOEURZAR lymphoid vol spread -20 - EURUS04/502AR 1y implied wisp:4W 3300 20C$ 2009 2030 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Graph 4: lv realized correlation vs. strike 10096 90% 2056 nme, 10056
Summary
Graphs Graph 1: EURZAR-USDZAR implied correlation at highs EPRZAR-LISD7AR fin Ina/Econ. EURZA.4-9502AR ly impleicorr 43% -- —r- ---e 100 2006 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Graph 3: 6m realized correlation vs. strike Graph 2: ZAR vols elevated compared to EURUSD vols 5 EURUSOEURZAR lymphoid vol spread -20 - EURUS04/502AR 1y implied wisp:4W 3300 20C$ 2009 2030 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Graph 4: lv realized correlation vs. strike 10096 90% 2056 nme, 10056
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Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap From: Xavier Avila Date: Tue, 05 Dec 2017 16:16:56 -0500 To: "Paul Barrett Cc: Stewart Oldfield Joshua Shoshan Martin Zeman < Paul, file attached to look at calculations of implied and realized. Thanks From: Xavier Avila Sent: Tuesday, December 05, 2017 11:17 AM To: 'Paul Barrett Cc: Stewart Oldfield <joshua.shoshan@db.com>; Martin Zeman Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR From: Xavier Avila Sent: Friday, December
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Subject: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap From: Martin Zeman Date: Tue, 28 Nov 2017 To: "Paul Barrett ( Cc: Stewart Oldfield Xavier Avila Joshua Shosha Liam Osulliva Paul, 12:42:02 -0500 this could be an interesting trade on ZAR without really getting directional exposure to it. The payout is defined as a $amount per point of correlation. So that means selling the correlation at 80% for $10k per point of correlation is a max loss of $200k. Let me know if you'd like
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Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap From: Xavier Avila ‹ > Date: Wed, 06 Dec 2017 13:15:15 -0500 To: "Paul Barrett ( Cc: Stewart Oldfield Joshua Shoshan Martin Zeman Paul, we tried to call you on the corr swap. We spoke to trading and our bid-offer prices are below, a bit better than we were discussing in both currencies on the bid side. I also attach the t/s in ZAR ready to go just in case you want to review. Let's discuss when you have a sec. Thanks. ly US
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Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap From: Xavier Avila Date: Fri, 01 Dec 2017 To: "Paul Barrett ( Cc: Stewart Oldfield Joshua Shosha Martin Zeman 15:54:14 -0500 Paul, Vimal is working on the analysis and we'll send soon with the termsheet and mathematical claculations of implied and reaslied correlation. See also below the same idea but in EURMXN-USDMXN, the strike is a bit lower but Vimal wanted to point out that the historical realized has gone also much l
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Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap From: Xavier Avila <IM= I> Date: Tue, 05 Dec 2017 11:17:19 -0500 To: "Paul Barrett ( Cc: Stewart Oldfield Joshua Shoshan Martin Zeman From: Xavier Avila Sent: Friday, December 01, 2017 5:55 PM To: 'Paul Barrett Cc: Stewart Oldfield ; Martin Zeman Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap ; Joshua Shoshan Paul, see below the note and analysis that Vimal put together. Attached also an indicative termshe
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