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efta-efta01385345DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01385345
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3 January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media. Cable & Satellite
normally detrimental for existing operators. Over the course of the next two
years, most of the incremental supply will be opening in the Atlantic Coast
market. And while the supply additions are significant with the SALT
deductions in place we fear it could get a lot worse should SALT be eliminated
which is currently the plan.
Over the course of the last 10 years, the Atlantic Coast market has seen the
number of slot machines grow dramatically. While that growth started in 1993
with the introduction of Foxwoods in Connecticut, it was not until 2004 that
capacity additions began to proliferate in a dramatic way with the introduction
of the first VLT casinos in upstate New York (Saratoga, Finger Lakes,
Fairgrounds, and Monticello). Soon thereafter, in 2006, supply stepped up with
the opening of Empire City and Vernon Downs in New York, coupled with the
first two casinos in Pennsylvania (Mohegan Sun and Parx Casino). Since then,
Pennsylvania, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York, and even Atlantic City
have added capacity to the market.
Regional gaming developments to come online in 2018 and 2019 include the
Rain Rock Casino (Yreka, CA), Four Winds South Bend (South Bend, IN),
Resorts World Catskills (Catskills, NY), Point Place Casino (Bridgeport, NY),
MGM Springfield (Springfield, MA), Tiverton Casino (Tiverton; RI), Wynn
Boston Harbor (Everett, MA), and Live! Hotel & Casino (Philadelphia, PA). We
believe that Foxwoods and Mohegan Sun will be the operators that will suffer
the most cannibalization from new supply. We note that a study submitted to
both operators by Pyramid Associates in 2015 estimated that the GGR
displacement related to MGM Springfield, Wynn Boston Harbor and Resorts
World Catskills during their first full year of operations should account for 24%
of Mohegan's GGR and 28% of Foxwoods' GGR. The same study estimates
that the ramp up of these casinos should further cannibalize GGR by an
additional -13.6% at Mohegan and -16.9% at Foxwoods three years post
opening. For further details on this study, please refer to: futos://aoo.al/GST2o2.
Fa hil:it 5: Recent Elnd Upcoming Casino Openings
Property
Realm
Slots
Tables
Opening
del Lego Resort & Casino
Tyre, NY
1,956
99
2/1/I7
Kansas Crossing
Pittsburg. KS
625
16
3131/17
Rivers Casino
Schenectady, NY
1,150
67
2/8/17
Jake's 58 Casino
Islandia, NY
1,001
2/27/17
Baha Mar Resort
Nassau. Bahamas
1,100
119
4/21/17
Rani Casino
Ridgefield. WA
2.500
75
4/24/17
Spokane Tribe Casino
Airway Heights. WA
450
12
12/29/I7
Rain Rock Casino
Yreka, CA
500
8
1/29/18
Four Winds South Bend
South Bend. IN
1.800
01'18
Resorts World Catskills
Catskills. NY
2,150
100
3/1/18
Point Place Casino
Bridgeport. NY
475
20
02'18
Hard Rock Atlantic City
Atlantic City. NY
2,400
130
Jul'18
MGM Springfield
Springfield. MA
3.000
100
Sep'18
Tiverton Casino
Tiverton: RI
1.000
32
Ocil 8
Wynn Boston Harbor
Everett, MA
3.241
168
6/3/19
Livel Hotel & Casino
Philadelphia, PA
sear coavwvAsnor
Diursawe Sore
2O30
125
04'19
Of importance, our supply outlook excludes the possible JV between Mohegan
Tribe & Mashantucket Tribe, the opening of satellite casinos in Pennsylvania
and the reopening of Revel in Atlantic City given the timing uncertainty related
to those developments.
Page 70
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0086629
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00232813
EFTA01385345
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