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efta-efta01385346DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01385346
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3 January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media. Cable & Satellite
Increased MZA Activity Facing a lack of new greenfield opportunities, gaming
operators have once again shifted their focus to M&A activity in order to fuel
growth. M&A activity remained fairly tepid from 2009 until 2015. However in
2016, strong fundamentals, low cost of capital, high valuations and the
involvement of gaming REITs resulted in a significant increase in transactions.
This momentum has extended into 2017, as gaming companies have
announced transactions valued at -$8.00 billion (closed transactions at -$5.14
billion). The most notable transactions that have closed so far include (1) the
acquisition of Isle of Capri by Eldorado Resorts. (2) the sale-leaseback of MGM
National Harbor to MGM Growth Properties, and (3) the sale of American
Casino and Entertainment Properties to Golden Gaming. For further details on
these and other transactions please refer to Exhibit 6. Upon examining the
recent M&A activity, we note that: (1) the presence of gaming REITs and low
borrowing rates has elevated valuation levels; (2) while operators are paying
higher multiples, transactions are expected to be accretive owing to
meaningful synergy expectations; (3) multi-asset portfolio deals are garnering a
significant premium relative to single asset transactions outside of Nevada;
and (4) positive sentiment regarding the prospects of the Las Vegas Locals
markets have expanded valuations and it now takes a double digit multiple to
enter that market.
Exhibit 6: Gaming M&A Annual Tiansaction Volume & Aveiage Multiples
$10.0
$5.0
9.0x
8.8x
8.8x
S6.0
7.3x
6.4x
$4.0
$2.0
$0 1
WS
Si
sap
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
ism Annual Transaction VOLUM
avot ermine few tea Caesar an
11.7x
9.9x
ITU"
2014
2015
2016
2017
Average Transaction Multiples
15Ar
12 Ox
• 9.0x
6.0>.
3.Ox
0.0x
Over the past six months, management teams noted that M&A discussions in
the regional markets have intensified owing to an increase in the amount of
willing sellers. However, valuations seem to have increased as well, which may
be preventing several negotiations from closing. Despite of the high valuations,
we believe that 2018 is primed to be another year of record activity given the
excess of smaller operators who could potentially benefit from scale and multi-
asset corporations and REITs expressing willingness to grow via acquisitions.
We believe that the merger of Penn National and Pinnacle Entertainment could
be the first big transaction to be announced next year. In our view, a
combination of both entities has the potential for significant cost and revenue
synergies. We believe that while Pinnacle has a lean cost structure, significant
cost synergies could be achieved from the removal of public company costs,
reduced marketing expenses, and economies of scale. In contrast, difficulties
that could prevent the transaction from closing include the price negotiation
given high valuations for regional assets and forced dispositions related to
ownership limitations in certain markets.
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Page 71
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0086630
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00232814
EFTA01385346
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