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efta-efta01385359DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01385359
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3 January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media. Cable & Satellite
We believe the current yield of the IGT 6.5% Senior Secured Notes due 2025
($112.3, 4.4% YTVV, 199bps STW) is attractive on an outright basis given the
modest leverage, strong collateral and free cash flow generation capability.
Thus, we continue to rate these bonds as a Buy.
For 2017, we estimate IGT to report adjusted EBITDA of $1.67 billion (-5.0%
versus $1.76 billion) on revenue of $4.82 billion (-1.0% versus $4.87 billion).
After factoring the impact of $600 million of capital expenditures, cash interest
of $435 million, cash taxes of $325 million, dividends of $162 million, upfront
payments (includes S&W) of $96 million, distribution to partners of $140
million and $995 million in asset sales proceeds (includes Double Down), we
project total cash flow at $902 million by year-end 2017. Using our projection
of $7.78 billion of debt and a $390 million cash balance, we estimate that IGT
will end 2017 with a gross leverage of 4.7x and a net leverage of 4.4x.
For 2018, we estimate IGT to report adjusted EBITDA of $1.71 billion (+2.5%
versus $1.67 billion) on revenue of $4.79 billion (-0.5% versus $4.82 billion).
After factoring the impact of $600 million of capital expenditures, cash interest
of $395 million, cash taxes of $275 million, dividends of $162 million, upfront
payments of $566 million, and distribution to partners of $150 million, we
project total cash burn at $443 million by year-end 2018. Using our projection
of $8.22 billion of debt and a $390 million cash balance, we estimate that IGT
will end 2018 with a gross leverage of 4.8x and a net leverage of 4.6x.
'Exhibit 3: International Gaming Technology ($ Millions)
2015 (A)
2018(A)
L1M
2017 (E)
2018 (E)
Adjusted UEDA
$1,705
$1.755
$1,848
$1,885
$1.705
Less: Capital Expenditures
403
557
738
600
600
Less:Cash interest
460
451
439
435
395
Less: Cash Taxes
199
183
207
325
275
Less: Dividends
210
161
153
162
162
Less: Distribution to partners
60
68
119
140
150
Less: Net upfront payments
0
409
228
96
566
Plus: Asset sales
231
186
1,122
995
0
Res Cosh Flow
$604
$112
7663
$902
($443)
Toubl Debt
$9499
$9.005
$7,778
$7,778
$8.221
Cash
627
294
300
390
390
Leverage
Sox
4.8x
4.7x
4.7x
4.8x
Net Leverage
4.13x
4.4x
4.5x
4.4x
4.8x
Coverage
3.7x
3.9x
3.7x
3.8x
4.3x
Sans OrPri
MO ()anent beit
Downside risks include: (1) declining industry fundamentals; (2) the loss of
lottery contracts; (3) the use of free cash flow for activities other than debt
repayment; and (4) unfavorable FX impact.
MGM Resorts International. While MGM reported solid Q3'17, we believe that
investor focus was on management's commentary regarding the impact of the
tragic events of 10/1/17.
Management noted that bookings declined
immediately after October 1 because the company suspended its outbound
marketing programs. Management also noted that they saw a spike in non-
group cancellations (more than double than what they normally see).
Management noted that these cancellations progressively subsided by mid-
October and the booking pace returned to normalized levels after the company
resumed its marketing efforts. Of importance, Mandalay Bay was the
Page 84
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0086643
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00232827
EFTA01385359
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