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efta-efta01385360DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01385360
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3 January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media. Cable & Satellite
exception, as the company felt it was appropriate to reinstate marketing
programs at a slower pace. That been said, we believe that the impact from
these tragic events will be modest in 2018.
With this report, we are reaffirming our BUY rating on the 4.625% Senior
Unsecured Notes 2026 ($101.3, 4.4% YTVV, 207bps STVV). We continue to
believe that these bonds are attractive on a relative value basis.
[Exhibit 4: MGM Resorts Free Cash Flow Calculations (SMillions)
2015 (A)
2016 (A)
LTM
2017 (E)
2018(E)
Consoilsiod E8tT
$1,772
$2.079
$2,429
$2,319
$2,481
Less: MGM China 156%)
$302
$292
$288
$283
$403
Less: MGM Growth Properties 176%)
0
299
473
484
551
Less: Wholly-Owned Capox
888
1.291
1,058
990
800
Less: Share of MGM China Capes 156%)
324
544
562
554
168
Lass: Cloth Interest
762
618
567
629
603
Less:Cash taxes
12
68
163
170
175
Less: Acquisitions
0
659
8
0
0
Less: Dividends
0
0
190
250
250
Less: Share Repurchases
0
0
328
328
100
Less: Investments in affiliates
196
4
7
5
0
Plus: Dispositions
100
19
1
0
0
Plus: Dividends from affiliates
231
559
312
314
90
Plus: Distributions from MGM China
304
52
69
69
125
Plus: Distributions from MGP
0
113
289
294
354
Free Cash How
177)
09651
0550
Min
MI I
Total Debt
$12.138
$11.421
$11,047
$1 1.249
$11,250
Cash
1,362
1,161
2.202
2.000
2.000
Leverage
tElx
6.5x
4.5x
49x
4.5x
Net Leverage
9.1x
4.9x
3.9x
4.0x
9.7x
Coverage
2.3x
3.44
4.3x
3.7x
4.1x
&vat Cempery Aengs *. basely Bore
For 2017. we are projecting MGM Resorts International will generate Adjusted
EBITDA of $2.32 billion (+11.5% versus $2.08 billion). Factoring wholly-owned
capital expenditures of $990 million, MGM's share of MGM China's capital
expenditures of $554 million, cash interest of S629 million, cash taxes of $170
million, dividends from CityCenter and Grand Victoria of S314 million,
dividends from MGM China of $69 million, share repurchases of $328 million,
$250 million of dividends to shareholders, $5 million of investments in affiliates,
and $294 million of distributions from MGM Growth Properties, we project
total cash burn of 5697 million in 2017. Using our projected total debt of
$11.25 billion and cash interest of $629 million, we estimate MGM will end the
year with leverage of 4.9x and coverage of 3.7x. Factoring consolidated cash of
$2.00 billion, we estimate net leverage at 4.0x.
For 2018, we are projecting MGM Resorts International will generate Adjusted
EBITDA of $2.48 billion (+7.0% versus $2.32 billion). Of importance, our
projection includes the incremental contribution from MGM Cotai and
Springfield. Factoring wholly-owned capital expenditures of $800 million,
MGM's share of MGM China's capital expenditures of $168 million, cash
interest of $603 million, cash taxes of $175 million, dividends from CityCenter
and Grand Victoria of $90 million, dividends from MGM China of $125 million,
$250 million of dividends to shareholders, 8100 million of share repurchases,
and $354 million of distributions from MGM Growth Properties, we project
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Page 85
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0086644
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00232828
EFTA01385360
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